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Filed under: Analyst reports, Forecasts, Bad news, Industry, Competitive strategy, Motorola (MOT), Nokia Corp. (NOK)

No matter how badly Motorola (NYSE:MOT) has done in the handset business, it has managed to keep its spot as the market share leader in its home base of the US but that may change. According to The Wall Street Journai, “Motorola’s U.S. cellphone sales are dropping so sharply — and Samsung is catching up so quickly — that the South Korean company might soon knock Motorola from the perch it has held in the U.S. since it invented the cellphone in 1983.”

What can be stated? Motorola has been losing market share for the last two years and there is no reason to believe that it can reverse that trend. When its RAZR was selling well, it had 22% of the global market. Now that number is closer to 14%. Nokia (NYSE:NOK), the leader, has 39% of the global market.

The market share figure isn’t just a number on a piece of paper. It may result in making the spin-off of the handset unit to shareholders more difficult. After pressure from Carl Icahn and other investors, Motorola will split the company into two pieces. One will have the handset assets and the other the home products, enterprise, and government sales operations.

There has been some speculation that the handset part of the company is worth nothing. Motorola tried to sell the operation last year. As far as anyone knows, there were no buyers. The company’s shares now trade for $9.55, down from $26 in October 2006. Almost all of that loss in value comes from problems in the handset operations.

When shareholders get their handset division stock in the spin-out, they will be lucky if they are worth $1.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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Filed under: Forecasts, Industry, Competitive strategy, Google (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), Yahoo! (YHOO), China

It was bound to happen sooner of later. Growth of new internet users in the US has slowed. Growth in China is robust. As of February, the big Asian nation now has a many people online as America does. Both countries have about 221 people using the internet.

According to the AP “China’s February figure for World wide web users was a 61 percent jump over the 137 million people online reported by the government at the start of 2007.”

Who cares? US world wide web companies for one. With China’s audience so huge and growing, the next battle for web users in moving quickly to the mainland with companies like Google (NASDAQ:GOOG), Yahoo! (NASDAQ:YHOO), and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) understanding that much of their future revenue prospects will have to come in the world most populated country. On the internet activity in the US and Europe is close to its saturation points.

The challenge in China is that leading local companies there like Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU) and Sina (NASDAQ:SINA) are already control much of the market. They’re not likely to give up any of that share with out considerable fighting.

The Chinese market may hold the key to ongoing revenue growth for US world wide web companies, but, if they can’t find a massive foothold there, it is a sign that their long-term growth prospects may be stunted.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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goombah99 writes “While on vacation, I occasionally need to check my e-mail on a public terminal. What are some good techniques for avoiding keyloggers? Most of my ideas seem to have major drawbacks. Linux LiveCD can probably avoid software keyloggers, but it requires an invasive takeover of the public terminal, and is generally not possible. Kyps.net offers a free reverse proxy that will decode your password from a one-time pad you carry around, then enter it remotely. But, of course, you are giving them your passwords when you do this. You can run Firefox off a USB stick with various plugins (e.g. RoboForm) that’ll automatically fill the page in some manner they claim to be invulnerable to keyloggers. If that’s true, (and I can’t evaluate its security) it’s getting close to a solution. Unfortunately, keeping the password file up-to-date is a mild nuisance. Moreover, since it will need to be a Windows executable, it’s not possible for people without a Windows machine available to fill in their passwords ahead of time. For my business, I have SecureID, which makes one-time passwords. It’s a good solution for businesses, but not for personal accounts on things like Gmail, etc. So, what solutions do you use, or how do you mitigate the defects of the above processes? In particular, how do people with Mac or Linux home personal deal with this?”

Read more of this story at Slashdot.

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urbanriot writes “Despite a growing number of complaints on the popular North American consumer broadband site BroadbandReports, employees working for the Canadian cable internet provider Cogeco have publicly denied interfering with torrents on their network. However, a current plugin put out by the Vuze team exposed Cogeco of being the second worst ISP globally, of those tested. So far, Cogeco has failed to respond to these findings, but current coverage from the mainstream media and Michael Geist may prompt them to finally admit to their controversial practices.” The report by the Vuze team has some interesting information about other ISPs from around the world as well. Prior to this, Bell Canada was taking most of the flak in Canada for traffic management.

Read more of this story at Slashdot.

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CNet is running an update to the controversy over giving telecommunications giants such as AT&T immunity from lawsuits involving the assistance they gave the NSA for illegal wiretaps. Republican leaders are circulating a petition which would force a vote on the bill passed by the Senate but not by the House. Democrats are holding out for a version of the FISA bill which opens the telecoms to prosecution. President Bush still intends to veto any such document. “At a wide-ranging House hearing on Wednesday, FBI Director Robert Mueller again urged passage of a bill that includes immunity for phone companies, arguing that ‘uncertainty’ among the carriers ‘affects our capability to get info as fast and as quickly as we would want.’ He admitted, however, that he wasn’t aware of any wiretap requests being denied because of Congress’ inaction.”

Read more of this story at Slashdot.

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NewYorkCountryLawyer writes “An ISP in Ireland has been sued by the Massive Four record labels because its subscribers have engaged in P2P sharing of the record companies’ song files. The record companies claim the ISP should be buying Audible Magic’s CopySense, the software being peddled by the RIAA’s expert witness, which supposedly would filter out copyright infringement. Of course, not everyone agrees.”

Read more of this story at Slashdot.

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